I’m not a scientist but I have made some observations that scientists appear to have missed. My prediction is that the earth will enter a cooling period when the OULU Neutron Counts move into the positive range for a sustained period of time. Today the reading is -5.1. -32.1 is very low, +11.7 is very high.
GSM = excess moisture in the atmosphere =
a parallel convective current joining long wave radiation in the dissipation of heat into space.
The formation of snow in the upper atmosphere has a six fold compound cascading cooling impact. One thing happens it snows, but the impact is multiplied by six, mimicking a quantum mechanics event.
1. The state change from water to ice deposits heat in the upper atmosphere. It is being deposited at the rate of 144 BTU’s per pound of water that is converted to snow at the very minimum. This deposited heat will be dissipated into and radiated off into the background temperature of space which is estimated to be -455*f
2. Snow fall is a key episode governing and controlling the cooling process. For the vertical current to provide cooling there must be a separation between the heat absorbed by the upper atmosphere and the ice that was created when the upper atmosphere surrendered part of it’s volume of cold or lack of heat. The gravity driven falling snow provides the separation from the heat that was deposited in the upper atmosphere or left behind during the snow formation and state change from liquid to solid. The snow fall also causes an updraft that draws even more heat up from the surface of the earth.
3. The snow makes a color change to the surface of the earth. The Albedo of the planet is increased. During the advancing spring, sun light will strike the surface of the snow at an obtuse angle reflecting it back into space instead of the earth absorbing that vital warmth. The greater the snow accumulations, the more sunlight is reflected back into space.
4. When the snow on the ground finally melts it absorbs 144 BTU’s per pound of snow, which robs the earth of some of the warming provided by the sun. You already lost 144 BTU’s per pound in converting moisture to ice and now your going to lose another 144 per pound to convert the ice Back to water. 288 BTU’s at the minimum. Double dipping the conversion loses.
5. The snow melt increases the wetted surface of the earth creating even more opportunity for excess moisture in the atmosphere. Excess moisture creates the possibility of still more snow. Vicious cycle.
6. The process of water evaporation in and of itself has a cooling effect. The greater the moisture, or the wider the area the moisture covers, the greater the evaporation & the greater the cooling
7. Lastly just physical damage but that won’t cause the earth to discharge additional heat. The previous six will. The greater the volume of snow, the more acute all of these impacts become. Regenerative feedback. A cooling earth would suggest even more opportunities for additional snow formation. Until this chain is broken by the dormant sun returning to it’s normal irradiance or there is so much cold & snow that the atmosphere becomes arid, the thermal decline will continue deepening.
Other forces reducing earth’s temperature during the GSM.
Cosmic ray driven heavier cloud layers causing increased planetary Albedo which is making the earth more reflective to incoming sunlight.
Cosmic ray driven Increased volcanic eruptions some sending volcanic aerosols up into the stratosphere where they remain for years. Another cause of sunlight reflection back into space.
Reduced solar irradiance delivered from the sun. The output of the sun will be at a lower than normal level with less flaring & less solar winds. Less solar winds translate into more cosmic rays.
Longe wave radiation. Radiation created by the heat differential between the earth and the background temperature of deep space which is an estimated -455*f just a couple of degrees above absolute zero. Even if the ambient temperature is -100* f it is still 355* hotter than the background temperature of space. No matter how hot the sun gets the longe wave radiation keeps the earth from exceeding the balance of equilibrium. The thermodynamic properties of earth favor the rapid discharge of heat. When solar output falls off the temperature of earth will spiral down.
Good work MM. The whole world is under the deception of hubris thinking. Thinking too self absorbed to see the truth standing right there in the open. The world is about to see the changes we all see now, only after there is no time left to respond. The drive away from fuel for a fire……why, why, why. Those who have lost their minds about a warm, plant rich, (life rich) planet, are getting their desire, and more….snow upon snow.
Our cold spring has our vegetation very confused here in Central Alberta, Canada.
Solar polar fields chart very interesting, but I have a question, lol. The green and red vertical lines supposedly indicate where the fields reverse direction. But don’t they reverse immediately after the higher and lower peaks? That’s when they change direction, which is what reverse means, isn’t it?
Crosscheck on the solar cycle chart and TCI chart to see what was what when the fields were doing what they were doing. Then match that on the UAH GT chart see what temp was doing and the El Nino chart. And you can back track on NSO GONG to watch what the polarities were doing back to ’06 and match to the polar fields chart. Polar fields look similar now to before last max you can see the hook, the change in direction. The ’05 solar super storm had an X 17 look where polarity was then and where it will be 22 years later a full polarity rotation. ’05 was Katrina three years after max same polarity as now same strength.
Deb,
All of our trees, fruit tree and the dandelions. There are some trees, still not ‘leaved out’, they look dead, but they aren’t, just no leaves yet……fruit trees blossoms 1/2 out, and much less. The extended cool weather is throwing a wrench into all the vegetation.
The atmosphere has weight. It is therefore acted upon by gravity. Surprisingly CO2 is heavier than air so it is most heavily concentrated near the surface. Isn’t that where the trees are? God is a fantastic engineer!
Deb look a little further down I have my potato report. Not sure about all four but the one I dug up was a great surprise.
Well Deb, a vacuum operates on a plane the
vacuum of space sucks in all directions at the same time. Just think of it as the government and it becomes clear. Speaking of sucking in all directions all the time.
But Al Gore said that we will drown & burn at the same time 😁🤣🤣🤣
Seriously…Humans in the city’s are not capable of surviving times like this that is coming. Rural folks will but city folk…nope. And when those city folks realize they were lied to…well Burn Baby Burn will be the rule of the day…😢
Once in a while I’m capable of sick thoughts. One of them is the elites only see enough room on the equator for themselves and golden boys like Musk. Burn baby burn is what they expect and plan for.
Everything we see from the government and the media is just theatre. Only the strong survive and they are organized, well equipped, well financed and strong.
Now for some good news. I planted four potatoes in two earth boxes. One plant died back so I dug it up to see the results. Shocked to find 17 potatoes of various sizes. All on just one plant. The variety was Kennebec. I used 50/50 mold leaf compost and potting mix. Along with micro-life fertilizer I added bone and blood meal. Earth box wants dolomite lime added but I left that out and added sulfur pellets to lower the PH.
Way better results than I expected.
I have already built a two level high earth box table. I’m calling it the potato Hive. I plan to upload something to YouTube just Incase some one wants to grow bunches of potatoes in 20 square feet.
The earth box platform is outside. About 50/50 shade and sun. Too much rain and wind but good results anyway. I’m building garden techniques
not really growing so I am keeping zero records. That’s going to change next spring.
I will keep records on dates and what amendments I have added. My best guess is I planted in mid to late March up to early April. Just hatched this idea so I built the platform and then planted. Also added timed irrigation.
Since I planted I did nothing to the earth boxes. Timer kept them watered no weeds. Zero time and effort after planting.
Always good to get results. Wasn’t asking for your exact location, but your planting zone. Around here, the conventional wisdom says to plant potatoes on St. Patty’s Day. I forget the zone number, but I’m in Missouri.
I made a frame out of four boards eight by ten feet and dumped a truckload of topsoil after I spaded over the lawn. I put a tripod with 8 ft poles for pole beans in a corner with boards around that in the dirt then put gladwrap from the boards up the tripod for bug protection and baking soda around the boards for slugs and snails. One row of snap peas , turnips, beets, carrots and the rest three kinds of spuds red yellow and russet. I made a greenhouse over that with two posts a rope and clear plastic with wood lath on the base frame. Clear pup tent one dollar.
I found a poly lawn edge strip and made a circle with two nails put in dirt right on the lawn 5 feet zucchini island grow nine zukes green black and yellow. Put two pieces of one inch poly pipe crossed over the circle fasten with a nail. Put clear plastic over the hoops duct tape to poly lawn edge put baking soda barrier around circle. Mini biodome. Sprout zukes from seed total cost a couple bucks. Ate zuke bread all winter. I grow snap peas on my front porch hand rails and containers on the porch good sun there. Only bought one yard of topsoil total investment. Keep it small in case the well goes dry
Dirk-
Sounds like a lot of work for a guy with a bad back. You must be very determined. It’s worth the effort when the food comes rolling in, tho, isn’t it?
Mystic –
You’re way down south. You could have planted those potatoes a lot earlier, I imagine.
NOAA predicts that the sunspot number will reach its high for this Solar Maximum cycle next year and drop until it reaches single digits in 2031 and zero in 2040 when their forecast ends.
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/predicted-sunspot-number-and-radio-flux
NOAA SWPC has not made a SC26 prediction past solar minimum of SC25. They won’t make a prediction for next decade for years.
I’m not a scientist but I have made some observations that scientists appear to have missed. My prediction is that the earth will enter a cooling period when the OULU Neutron Counts move into the positive range for a sustained period of time. Today the reading is -5.1. -32.1 is very low, +11.7 is very high.
GSM = excess moisture in the atmosphere =
a parallel convective current joining long wave radiation in the dissipation of heat into space.
The formation of snow in the upper atmosphere has a six fold compound cascading cooling impact. One thing happens it snows, but the impact is multiplied by six, mimicking a quantum mechanics event.
1. The state change from water to ice deposits heat in the upper atmosphere. It is being deposited at the rate of 144 BTU’s per pound of water that is converted to snow at the very minimum. This deposited heat will be dissipated into and radiated off into the background temperature of space which is estimated to be -455*f
2. Snow fall is a key episode governing and controlling the cooling process. For the vertical current to provide cooling there must be a separation between the heat absorbed by the upper atmosphere and the ice that was created when the upper atmosphere surrendered part of it’s volume of cold or lack of heat. The gravity driven falling snow provides the separation from the heat that was deposited in the upper atmosphere or left behind during the snow formation and state change from liquid to solid. The snow fall also causes an updraft that draws even more heat up from the surface of the earth.
3. The snow makes a color change to the surface of the earth. The Albedo of the planet is increased. During the advancing spring, sun light will strike the surface of the snow at an obtuse angle reflecting it back into space instead of the earth absorbing that vital warmth. The greater the snow accumulations, the more sunlight is reflected back into space.
4. When the snow on the ground finally melts it absorbs 144 BTU’s per pound of snow, which robs the earth of some of the warming provided by the sun. You already lost 144 BTU’s per pound in converting moisture to ice and now your going to lose another 144 per pound to convert the ice Back to water. 288 BTU’s at the minimum. Double dipping the conversion loses.
5. The snow melt increases the wetted surface of the earth creating even more opportunity for excess moisture in the atmosphere. Excess moisture creates the possibility of still more snow. Vicious cycle.
6. The process of water evaporation in and of itself has a cooling effect. The greater the moisture, or the wider the area the moisture covers, the greater the evaporation & the greater the cooling
7. Lastly just physical damage but that won’t cause the earth to discharge additional heat. The previous six will. The greater the volume of snow, the more acute all of these impacts become. Regenerative feedback. A cooling earth would suggest even more opportunities for additional snow formation. Until this chain is broken by the dormant sun returning to it’s normal irradiance or there is so much cold & snow that the atmosphere becomes arid, the thermal decline will continue deepening.
Other forces reducing earth’s temperature during the GSM.
Cosmic ray driven heavier cloud layers causing increased planetary Albedo which is making the earth more reflective to incoming sunlight.
Cosmic ray driven Increased volcanic eruptions some sending volcanic aerosols up into the stratosphere where they remain for years. Another cause of sunlight reflection back into space.
Reduced solar irradiance delivered from the sun. The output of the sun will be at a lower than normal level with less flaring & less solar winds. Less solar winds translate into more cosmic rays.
Longe wave radiation. Radiation created by the heat differential between the earth and the background temperature of deep space which is an estimated -455*f just a couple of degrees above absolute zero. Even if the ambient temperature is -100* f it is still 355* hotter than the background temperature of space. No matter how hot the sun gets the longe wave radiation keeps the earth from exceeding the balance of equilibrium. The thermodynamic properties of earth favor the rapid discharge of heat. When solar output falls off the temperature of earth will spiral down.
Good work MM. The whole world is under the deception of hubris thinking. Thinking too self absorbed to see the truth standing right there in the open. The world is about to see the changes we all see now, only after there is no time left to respond. The drive away from fuel for a fire……why, why, why. Those who have lost their minds about a warm, plant rich, (life rich) planet, are getting their desire, and more….snow upon snow.
Our cold spring has our vegetation very confused here in Central Alberta, Canada.
Alberta Jim
Watch the cosmic ray chart slowly go back up over the next six years to CR max in 2030 on: https://www.spaceweather.com/
https://cosmicrays.oulu.fi/
Also the TCI chart, watch it slowly go back to low over the next six years:
https://www.spaceweather.com/images2024/04jun24/TCI_Daily_NO_Power_Percentiles.png
And the sunspot count on the solar cycle chart:
https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
Right above the TCI chart is the percent of days with no sunspots, Spotless Days. Zero percent.
Study the solar polar fields chart, Plot where you estimate the fields will be in six years at solar minimum. That’s the forecast point for SC26.
https://solen.info/solar/polarfields/polar.html
Solar polar fields chart very interesting, but I have a question, lol. The green and red vertical lines supposedly indicate where the fields reverse direction. But don’t they reverse immediately after the higher and lower peaks? That’s when they change direction, which is what reverse means, isn’t it?
Crosscheck on the solar cycle chart and TCI chart to see what was what when the fields were doing what they were doing. Then match that on the UAH GT chart see what temp was doing and the El Nino chart. And you can back track on NSO GONG to watch what the polarities were doing back to ’06 and match to the polar fields chart. Polar fields look similar now to before last max you can see the hook, the change in direction. The ’05 solar super storm had an X 17 look where polarity was then and where it will be 22 years later a full polarity rotation. ’05 was Katrina three years after max same polarity as now same strength.
Just what we don’t need -another Katrina. But it would be interesting to see if anyone learned anything from the last one.
I have one question. Why doesn’t our atmosphere get sucked off into the vacuum of space?
That was directed at MM, not Jim.
But for Jim, I have another question. Exactly what vegetation are you referring to, Jim. Wild or domesticated?
Deb,
All of our trees, fruit tree and the dandelions. There are some trees, still not ‘leaved out’, they look dead, but they aren’t, just no leaves yet……fruit trees blossoms 1/2 out, and much less. The extended cool weather is throwing a wrench into all the vegetation.
Alberta Jim
Deb, the dandelions are 3 weeks late.
Alberta Jim
Dandelions can adapt, fruit trees not so much. Later greens are not so bad, they’re still food.
The atmosphere has weight. It is therefore acted upon by gravity. Surprisingly CO2 is heavier than air so it is most heavily concentrated near the surface. Isn’t that where the trees are? God is a fantastic engineer!
Deb look a little further down I have my potato report. Not sure about all four but the one I dug up was a great surprise.
Yes, but if you use a vacuum cleaner, can suck up much heavier stuff than air. So is a vacuum cleaner more powerful than the vacuum of space?
Well Deb, a vacuum operates on a plane the
vacuum of space sucks in all directions at the same time. Just think of it as the government and it becomes clear. Speaking of sucking in all directions all the time.
MM-
https://youtu.be/JDSPwexlyTo?si=mSSEvo9VhTzYz0Ab
-Thanks!
Tell the weight on the barometer. Heat wants to rise and escape but it cools back down at elevation sinks into the high pressure area air sinking.
But Al Gore said that we will drown & burn at the same time 😁🤣🤣🤣
Seriously…Humans in the city’s are not capable of surviving times like this that is coming. Rural folks will but city folk…nope. And when those city folks realize they were lied to…well Burn Baby Burn will be the rule of the day…😢
Once in a while I’m capable of sick thoughts. One of them is the elites only see enough room on the equator for themselves and golden boys like Musk. Burn baby burn is what they expect and plan for.
Everything we see from the government and the media is just theatre. Only the strong survive and they are organized, well equipped, well financed and strong.
The best laid plans of mice and men gang oft agleigh.
Now for some good news. I planted four potatoes in two earth boxes. One plant died back so I dug it up to see the results. Shocked to find 17 potatoes of various sizes. All on just one plant. The variety was Kennebec. I used 50/50 mold leaf compost and potting mix. Along with micro-life fertilizer I added bone and blood meal. Earth box wants dolomite lime added but I left that out and added sulfur pellets to lower the PH.
Way better results than I expected.
I have already built a two level high earth box table. I’m calling it the potato Hive. I plan to upload something to YouTube just Incase some one wants to grow bunches of potatoes in 20 square feet.
How long did it take, where are you located, inside or outside? Please 🙂.
The earth box platform is outside. About 50/50 shade and sun. Too much rain and wind but good results anyway. I’m building garden techniques
not really growing so I am keeping zero records. That’s going to change next spring.
I will keep records on dates and what amendments I have added. My best guess is I planted in mid to late March up to early April. Just hatched this idea so I built the platform and then planted. Also added timed irrigation.
Since I planted I did nothing to the earth boxes. Timer kept them watered no weeds. Zero time and effort after planting.
Always good to get results. Wasn’t asking for your exact location, but your planting zone. Around here, the conventional wisdom says to plant potatoes on St. Patty’s Day. I forget the zone number, but I’m in Missouri.
I made a frame out of four boards eight by ten feet and dumped a truckload of topsoil after I spaded over the lawn. I put a tripod with 8 ft poles for pole beans in a corner with boards around that in the dirt then put gladwrap from the boards up the tripod for bug protection and baking soda around the boards for slugs and snails. One row of snap peas , turnips, beets, carrots and the rest three kinds of spuds red yellow and russet. I made a greenhouse over that with two posts a rope and clear plastic with wood lath on the base frame. Clear pup tent one dollar.
I found a poly lawn edge strip and made a circle with two nails put in dirt right on the lawn 5 feet zucchini island grow nine zukes green black and yellow. Put two pieces of one inch poly pipe crossed over the circle fasten with a nail. Put clear plastic over the hoops duct tape to poly lawn edge put baking soda barrier around circle. Mini biodome. Sprout zukes from seed total cost a couple bucks. Ate zuke bread all winter. I grow snap peas on my front porch hand rails and containers on the porch good sun there. Only bought one yard of topsoil total investment. Keep it small in case the well goes dry
8B
Dirk-
Sounds like a lot of work for a guy with a bad back. You must be very determined. It’s worth the effort when the food comes rolling in, tho, isn’t it?
Mystic –
You’re way down south. You could have planted those potatoes a lot earlier, I imagine.
My prediction for global cooling is that the AMOC will shut down in the coming months due to the record heat in the tropical Atlantic.
Save for Hunga Tonga, I think that -1C might already be in force.